economy · 2026-10-14

India's debt crosses ₹225 lakh crore, minister says

India's debt crosses ₹225 lakh crore, minister says

Photo: via The Hindu

India's national debt has crossed ₹225 lakh crore, up from about ₹55 lakh crore in 2014. That works out to a growing burden on each citizen, especially as interest payments eat up a big share of government income.

How much has India's debt increased in the past decade?

India's central government debt has climbed from a record low of 44.6% of GDP in December 2018 to 59.1% in March 2026, with the pandemic spurring heavy borrowing. The raw rupee figure jumped from roughly ₹55 lakh crore in 2014 to over ₹225 lakh crore now, but the economy also doubled to nearly $4 trillion in that period, changing what the debt can support.

Which Indian debt figure should I trust?

No single figure is right; it depends on what's counted. India's central government debt was 59.1% of GDP in March 2026, while general government debt, including states, was about 82% of GDP. Both are valid measures for different questions, so check which level a number covers before trusting it.

Was the Congress leader cherry-picking debt numbers?

Yes. He quoted the raw debt stock, which quadrupled from roughly ₹55 lakh crore to ₹225 lakh crore since 2014, but skipped that the economy grew from about $2 trillion to nearly $4 trillion in that time, which changes what the debt can support. He also ignored that interest rates were higher during parts of the UPA years.

How can the US afford to borrow so much but India can't?

The US dollar is the world's reserve currency, so America can borrow in its own currency and effectively never default. Japan, an Asian economy, even carries debt above 200% of GDP, but most is held by its own citizens and central bank, keeping interest at home. India borrows mostly in rupees, but its creditors are more demanding and its economy is smaller.

Does how debt is held matter more than how much?

Yes. What matters is whether debt was spent on productive assets or just interest, and who holds it. India's loans are mostly in rupees, long-term (average maturity 12.54 years), and only 5.1% external, mostly from concessional multilaterals. That structure lowers risk more than the headline figure suggests.

How does India's 82% debt-to-GDP compare to past?

It's near India's record high. Counting all central and state borrowing, general government debt is about 82% of GDP, and a rating agency says interest payments eat 23% of revenue. But the central government's own public debt was actually lower in 2023-24 at 51.4% of GDP, down from 53% in the pandemic year of 2020-21, and far above its record low of 44.6% in 2018.

How much debt is too much for India?

There is no fixed line. What matters is whether the economy grows faster than the debt's cost. India's central government debt is about 59% of GDP and rising, and interest payments eat roughly 23% of revenue. But the debt is mostly in rupees, is long-dated at 12.54 years, and the economy grew 7.6% in 2025-26, so it remains serviceable.

Is 23% of revenue for interest payments crippling?

Yes, it is a heavy weight. Interest payments consume about 23% of fiscal revenue, as one rating agency analysis notes. That means nearly a quarter of every rupee the government collects goes to past borrowing, not to schools, roads or health, severely limiting fiscal flexibility.

Is India heading toward Japan's fate or Greece's?

Neither. India borrows mostly in rupees, insulating it from the currency crisis that broke Greece. Only 5.1% of central public debt is external. Unlike Japan, India's economy is still growing fast, at 7.6% last year. India's real vulnerability is different: a reliance on imported oil paid in dollars, vulnerable to sudden investor exits.

How do I counter the ₹55 to ₹225 lakh crore claim?

He is using raw rupee totals, which naturally grow with inflation and a bigger economy. The economy roughly doubled in size over that period. Monthly inflation of even 5% makes a debt stock look enormous in a decade, so debt-to-GDP, about 59% for central government debt, is a fairer comparison than a headline number.

Source: thehindu.com

More stories on FYI